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MATMattel, Inc.

Options Analysis Report•DOLLS & STUFFED TOYS
Market Cap $4.3B|NASDAQ
● 2026-08-28$14.92
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-08-27 EOD data
1Y -19.2%YTD -25.5%7D +2.8%
606
30D
±8.3%
6%

MAT Options Overview

bullish flow. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.8VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

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MAT Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.7
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 58.9% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.37x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 39% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.73x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 38.3% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 59.1% (ATM 38.3% + spread 10.4% + bias) — good value

<3.0%

Total drag 16.82% (spread 10.42% + slippage 6.40%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 2.11 (vega 2.199 / spread 10.42%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.6
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksNeutral - Strong signal (Conviction: +2%, Raw: +12%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: +12%

≥15%

|OI skew| 53.4% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +91.4%, OI skew +53.4% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +41%, ATM: +17%, OTM: +7% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 6% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

1.8
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.3x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change -26.1% (5d) — unwinding

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 24% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 20% — patient

≥30

Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.7
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 10.4% — wide

≥10,000

OI 71,068 — deep

≥500

Volume 606/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$0.52 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 67% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 723.4 contracts (bid:519.0 ask:204.4) — deep

<1.0%

Avg slippage 6.40% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.4
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -26.8% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 59% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -8.5pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 268.18 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.8
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Long Puts4.7
bearishIV fair, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.3
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Covered Call4.2
bearishIV fair, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.