Options/MBB

MBBiShares MBS ETF

Options Analysis Report

AUM $39.7B|NASDAQ

● 2026-08-31$93.17

VERY BULLISH

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y -0.5%YTD -2.1%7D -0.2%

Options Vol

260

30D

Implied Move

±3.7%

IV Rank

MBB Options Overview

IV is low with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

Learn

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MBB Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

8.5

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 0.4% — cheap vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.95x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 1% — below sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 3.15x — backwardation

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 4.8% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 92.0% (ATM 4.8% + spread 43.6% + bias) — expensive

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 56.22% (spread 43.61% + slippage 12.61%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 5.82 (vega 25.393 / spread 43.61%) — acceptable

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

9.8

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +93%, Raw: +92%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +93% (strong bullish) — Raw: +92%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 16.7% — call-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +92.3%, OI skew +16.7% — aligned

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: +92%, OTM: +0% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 3% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

7.7

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks6/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 4.9x avg — hot

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 25.2% — high turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +16.7% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 94% — very active vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 38% — institutional presence

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 36% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction +93 (bullish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.1

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 43.6% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 1,033 — thin

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 260/day — thin

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$2.18 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 25% — tighter than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 118.3 contracts (bid:33.5 ask:84.8) — adequate

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 12.61% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.9

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks8/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope +214.6% — backwardation

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 0% — buyer opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink 8.3pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 11040.65 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +93% @ 96% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 68 (ITM 20% + inst 38%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls9.0

bullishIV cheap, bullish flow

Long Puts4.7

bearishIV cheap, bullish flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put5.7

bullishIV too cheap, bullish flow

Covered Call2.3

bearishIV too cheap, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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