Options/MRAL

MRALGraniteShares 2x Long MARA Daily ETF

Options Analysis Report

AUM $51M|NASDAQ

● 2026-08-31$34.46

BULLISH

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y -81.8%YTD -37.5%7D -11.0%

Options Vol

30D

Implied Move

±45.2%

IV Rank

17%

MRAL Options Overview

IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn

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MRAL Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

3.8

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 99.6% — elevated vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.87x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 100% — above sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.96x — contango

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 164.1% — crisis-level IV

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 217.8% (ATM 164.1% + spread 26.9% + bias) — expensive

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 32.26% (spread 26.85% + slippage 5.41%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 3.06 (vega 8.225 / spread 26.85%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

4.0

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -11%, Raw: +0%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -11% (bearish) — Raw: +0%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 77.2% — call-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -25.0%, OI skew +77.2% — divergent (opposite)

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -100%, ATM: +100%, OTM: +17% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 92% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.7

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 0.8x avg — normal

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 5.1% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +28.2% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 70% — active vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 25% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction -11 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.2

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 26.9% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 473 — thin

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 24/day — thin

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$1.34 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 100% — much wider than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 370.29999999999995 contracts (bid:154.6 ask:215.7) — adequate

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 5.41% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.0

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope -3.7% — flat/unclear

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 100% — seller opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink -8.3pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 218.75 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -11% @ 53% consistency — unclear

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls5.1

bullishIV expensive, bearish flow

Long Puts4.8

bearishIV expensive, bearish flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put4.7

bullishIV rich premium, bearish flow

Covered Call5.4

bearishIV rich premium, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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