MSFDDirexion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X ETF
MSFD Options Overview
unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
MSFD Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 48.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.17x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 69% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.90x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.2% — normal range
Effective IV 193.7% (ATM 31.2% + spread 81.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 93.17% (spread 81.23% + slippage 11.94%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.30 (vega 2.437 / spread 81.23%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -83% (strong bearish) — Raw: -85%
|OI skew| 88.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +75.7%, OI skew +88.6% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: -100%, OTM: +0% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 7% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.5% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 81% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 0% — patient
Conviction -83 (bearish) — strong conviction
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 81.2% — wide
OI 876 — thin
Volume 74/day — thin
$4.06 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 76% — wider than sector
Depth 680.0999999999999 contracts (bid:132.2 ask:547.9) — deep
Avg slippage 11.94% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -10.2% — contango
IV percentile 48% — neutral
IV kink 15.5pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 812.30 — favors income trades
2 liquid expirations — limited
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -83% @ 92% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.