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MTDRMATADOR RESOURCES COMPANY

Options Analysis Report•CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
Market Cap $7.0B|NYSE
● 2026-08-31$56.39
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +10.1%YTD +30.1%7D -1.9%
155
30D
±11.0%
11%

MTDR Options Overview

bullish flow. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.9VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

Learn
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MTDR Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.9
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 64.3% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.98x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 58% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.94x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 40.4% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 74.5% (ATM 40.4% + spread 17.1% + bias) — fair

<3.0%

Total drag 19.63% (spread 17.05% + slippage 2.58%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 14.76 (vega 25.170 / spread 17.05%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.6
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksNeutral - Strong signal (Conviction: +3%, Raw: -1%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +3% (neutral) — Raw: -1%

≥15%

|OI skew| 59.7% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +67.7%, OI skew +59.7% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -12%, ATM: -100%, OTM: +71% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 29% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

1.6
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.1x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +1.6% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 22% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 20% — patient

≥30

Conviction +3 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.7
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 17.1% — wide

≥10,000

OI 35,405 — adequate

≥500

Volume 155/day — thin

≤$0.50

$0.85 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 74% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 203.7 contracts (bid:84.4 ask:119.3) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 2.58% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.7
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -5.6% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 64% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -2.4pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 2309.17 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +3% @ 51% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls7.1
bullishIV cheap, bullish flow
Long Puts5.0
bearishIV cheap, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.8
bullishIV too cheap, bullish flow
Covered Call3.7
bearishIV too cheap, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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