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MUSAMURPHY USA INC.

Options Analysis Report•RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS
Market Cap $9.2B|NYSE
● 2026-08-31$503.19
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +35.0%YTD +24.1%7D -11.4%
26
30D
±9.3%
1%

MUSA Options Overview

Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.9VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

Learn
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MUSA Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

8.3
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 52.7% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.70x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 26% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.93x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 33.6% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 83.9% (ATM 33.6% + spread 25.1% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 26.89% (spread 25.15% + slippage 1.74%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 44.06 (vega 110.819 / spread 25.15%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.0
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksNeutral - Weak signal (Conviction: +1%, Raw: -26%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +1% (neutral) — Raw: -26%

≥15%

|OI skew| 2.7% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +0.0%, OI skew -2.7% — weak (same direction)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: +100%, OTM: -57% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 55% — neutral vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.4
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.2x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.0% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +28.9% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 34% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 10% — patient

≥30

Conviction +1 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.1
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 25.1% — wide

≥10,000

OI 2,594 — thin

≥500

Volume 26/day — thin

≤$0.50

$1.26 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 59% — neutral vs sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 12.1 contracts (bid:5.5 ask:6.6) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 1.74% — fair

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.5
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -6.6% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 53% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -1.2pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 566.27 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +1% @ 50% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.9
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts6.0
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put3.6
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call3.7
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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