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NJRNew Jersey Resources Corp

Options Analysis Report•NATURAL GAS DISTRIBUTION
Market Cap $5.4B|NYSE
● 2026-08-31$53.60
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +13.5%YTD +16.6%7D -0.3%
1
30D
±17.3%
19%

NJR Options Overview

Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.1VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

Learn
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NJR Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.3
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 50.0% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 50% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 3.05x — backwardation

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.00x — normal

<80%

ATM IV 0.0% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 266.7% (ATM 0.0% + spread 133.3% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 150.00% (spread 133.33% + slippage 16.67%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 133.33%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

3.0
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -100%, Raw: -100%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -100% (strong bearish) — Raw: -100%

≥15%

|OI skew| 73.3% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +100.0%, OI skew +73.3% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: +0%, OTM: -100% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 50% — neutral vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.9
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.1x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.6% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +5.9% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 30% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 0% — patient

≥30

Conviction -100 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.3
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 133.3% — wide

≥10,000

OI 180 — thin

≥500

Volume 1/day — thin

≤$0.50

$6.67 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 28.0 contracts (bid:12.0 ask:16.0) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 16.67% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.9
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +204.5% — backwardation

<30 or >70

IV percentile 50% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink 34.2pts — event priced

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -100% @ 100% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls4.3
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Long Puts5.7
bearishIV fair, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.0
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Covered Call5.4
bearishIV fair, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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