Options/NVD

NVDGraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Short NVDA Daily ETF

Options Analysis Report

AUM $89M|NASDAQ

● 2026-08-31$4.05

BULLISH

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y -61.7%YTD -42.0%7D -11.4%

Options Vol

4,208

30D

Implied Move

±19.5%

IV Rank

NVD Options Overview

IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn

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NVD Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.4

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 89.8% — elevated vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.74x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 93% — above sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.90x — contango

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 71.4% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 113.7% (ATM 71.4% + spread 21.1% + bias) — expensive

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 28.73% (spread 21.15% + slippage 7.58%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.18 (vega 0.382 / spread 21.15%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

4.2

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -66%, Raw: -56%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -66% (strong bearish) — Raw: -56%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 46.7% — call-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +96.2%, OI skew +46.7% — aligned

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -35%, ATM: -62%, OTM: +35% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 1% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

8.0

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks7/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 3.2x avg — hot

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 22.9% — high turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

3 day(s) elevated — sustained

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +84.7% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 93% — very active vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 38% — institutional presence

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 43% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction -66 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.0

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 21.1% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 18,333 — adequate

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 4,208/day — adequate

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$1.06 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 95% — much wider than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 1,537.4 contracts (bid:530.7 ask:1,006.7) — deep

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 7.58% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.7

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks8/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope -9.6% — contango

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 90% — seller opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink -2.6pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 63.65 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -66% @ 83% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 68 (ITM 20% + inst 38%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls5.9

bullishIV fair, mixed flow

Long Puts5.5

bearishIV fair, mixed flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put4.6

bullishIV fair, mixed flow

Covered Call5.2

bearishIV fair, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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