Options/NVDD
N

NVDDDirexion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $20M|NASDAQ
2026-08-31$30.72
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y -28.7%YTD -19.0%7D -5.1%
15
30D
±9.2%
1%

NVDD Options Overview

bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.1VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

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NVDD Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

7.8
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 56.9% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.76x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 57% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.84x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 35.9% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 64.0% (ATM 35.9% + spread 14.1% + bias) — good value

<3.0%

Total drag 21.17% (spread 14.06% + slippage 7.11%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 5.24 (vega 7.363 / spread 14.06%) — acceptable

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.1
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -11%, Raw: -17%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -11% (bearish) — Raw: -17%

≥15%

|OI skew| 28.1% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +73.3%, OI skew +28.1% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -33%, ATM: +100%, OTM: -100% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 14% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.8
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.4x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.7% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +15.1% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 46% — neutral vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 20% — patient

≥30

Conviction -11 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.4
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 14.1% — wide

≥10,000

OI 901 — thin

≥500

Volume 15/day — thin

≤$0.50

$0.70 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 73% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 955.4 contracts (bid:383.5 ask:571.9) — deep

<1.0%

Avg slippage 7.11% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.6
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -15.7% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 57% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -3.8pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 956.21 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -11% @ 54% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls7.2
bullishIV cheap, bullish flow
Long Puts5.4
bearishIV cheap, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.3
bullishIV too cheap, bullish flow
Covered Call3.5
bearishIV too cheap, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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