OLEDUniversal Display Corp
OLED Options Overview
bearish flow. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
OLED Gamma Walls
OLED Hedge Radar
Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where OLED sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the fair band (4.22) — the move being priced is 1.64x this name's own median 26-trading-day move, and downside puts carry 1.9 IV points LESS than at-the-money, measured against this name's own rolling 26-trading-day realized moves (478 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (2.6): it is trading 10% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 50.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 50% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.00x — normal
ATM IV 0.0% — normal range
Effective IV 43.8% (ATM 0.0% + spread 21.9% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 27.68% (spread 21.88% + slippage 5.80%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 21.88%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -21% (bearish) — Raw: -13%
|OI skew| 58.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew -95.0%, OI skew +58.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +25%, OTM: -14% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 99% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.8% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +45.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 75% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 21% — patient
Conviction -21 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 21.9% — wide
OI 18,586 — adequate
Volume 1,270/day — adequate
$1.09 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector
Depth 55.9 contracts (bid:32.5 ask:23.4) — thin
Avg slippage 5.80% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 50% — neutral
IV kink -1.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -21% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.