PHOInvesco Water Resources ETF
PHO Options Overview
IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
PHO Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 16.7% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.15x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 30% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.03x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 18.0% — normal range
Effective IV 111.3% (ATM 18.0% + spread 46.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 52.30% (spread 46.64% + slippage 5.66%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.38 (vega 20.449 / spread 46.64%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -43% (strong bearish) — Raw: -43%
|OI skew| 29.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +100.0%, OI skew +29.3% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -43%, OTM: +0% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.5% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 39% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction -43 (bearish) — moderate
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 46.6% — wide
OI 685 — thin
Volume 10/day — thin
$2.33 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Depth 63.400000000000006 contracts (bid:20.2 ask:43.2) — thin
Avg slippage 5.66% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +3.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 17% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1561.02 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -43% @ 71% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.