P

PSIInvesco Semiconductors ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $2.4B|ARCX
2026-08-31$131.81
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +113.1%YTD +59.1%7D -1.7%
23
30D
±10.9%
8%

PSI Options Overview

Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.6VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

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PSI Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.2
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 65.8% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.78x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 81% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.87x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 41.6% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 129.8% (ATM 41.6% + spread 44.1% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 53.06% (spread 44.09% + slippage 8.97%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 8.01 (vega 35.296 / spread 44.09%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

3.7
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -81%, Raw: -85%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -81% (strong bearish) — Raw: -85%

≥15%

|OI skew| 40.3% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +39.1%, OI skew +40.3% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: -67%, OTM: -100% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 18% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.9
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.5x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 3.2% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +9.1% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 59% — neutral vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 0% — patient

≥30

Conviction -81 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.3
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 44.1% — wide

≥10,000

OI 707 — thin

≥500

Volume 23/day — thin

≤$0.50

$2.20 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 85% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 140.7 contracts (bid:124.0 ask:16.7) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 8.97% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.2
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -12.6% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 66% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -5.0pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 574.86 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -81% @ 90% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls4.9
bullishIV cheap, bearish flow
Long Puts5.8
bearishIV cheap, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.0
bullishIV too cheap, bearish flow
Covered Call4.9
bearishIV too cheap, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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