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RILYBRC Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

Options Analysis ReportINVESTMENT ADVICE
Market Cap $283M|NASDAQ
2026-08-31$7.05
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +29.1%YTD +36.1%7D +0.1%
7,679
30D
±16.9%
0%

RILY Options Overview

IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.8VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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RILY Gamma Walls

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RILY Hedge Radar

Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where RILY sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the fair band (4.58) — downside puts carry 3.3 IV points LESS than at-the-money, and implied vol sits in the 6th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 19-trading-day realized moves (485 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (1): it is trading 13% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is contracting.

Protection cost
4.58/ 10fair
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
1.00/ 10resilient
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

4.0
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 82.0% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.44x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 90% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.97x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 57.6% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 108.2% (ATM 57.6% + spread 25.3% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 35.07% (spread 25.31% + slippage 9.76%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.15 (vega 0.386 / spread 25.31%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.2
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBearish - Weak signal (Conviction: -16%, Raw: -11%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -16% (bearish) — Raw: -11%

≥15%

|OI skew| 6.3% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +48.4%, OI skew -6.3% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +31%, ATM: -11%, OTM: -16% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 15% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

4.3
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.7x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 9.3% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +15.8% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 83% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 13% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 54% — patient

≥30

Conviction -16 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.3
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 25.3% — wide

≥10,000

OI 82,475 — deep

≥500

Volume 7,679/day — active

≤$0.50

$1.27 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 92% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 293.5 contracts (bid:171.8 ask:121.7) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 9.76% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.0
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -2.5% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 82% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.6pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 19.31 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -16% @ 58% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 43 (ITM 20% + inst 13%) — moderate institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls4.8
bullishIV expensive, mixed flow
Long Puts4.6
bearishIV expensive, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.3
bullishIV rich premium, mixed flow
Covered Call5.2
bearishIV rich premium, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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