RILYBRC Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
RILY Options Overview
IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
RILY Gamma Walls
RILY Hedge Radar
Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where RILY sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the fair band (4.58) — downside puts carry 3.3 IV points LESS than at-the-money, and implied vol sits in the 6th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 19-trading-day realized moves (485 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (1): it is trading 13% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is contracting.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 82.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.44x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 90% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 57.6% — normal range
Effective IV 108.2% (ATM 57.6% + spread 25.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 35.07% (spread 25.31% + slippage 9.76%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.15 (vega 0.386 / spread 25.31%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -16% (bearish) — Raw: -11%
|OI skew| 6.3% — balanced
Vol skew +48.4%, OI skew -6.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +31%, ATM: -11%, OTM: -16% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 15% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 9.3% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +15.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 83% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 13% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 54% — patient
Conviction -16 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 25.3% — wide
OI 82,475 — deep
Volume 7,679/day — active
$1.27 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 92% — much wider than sector
Depth 293.5 contracts (bid:171.8 ask:121.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 9.76% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.5% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 82% — seller opportunity
IV kink 0.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 19.31 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -16% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 43 (ITM 20% + inst 13%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.