IV is low with unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 28.1% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.69x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 8% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.2% — normal range
Effective IV 41.3% (ATM 30.2% + spread 5.5% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 10.12% (spread 5.54% + slippage 4.58%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 36.31 (vega 20.119 / spread 5.54%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +40% (strong bullish) — Raw: +34%
|OI skew| 39.7% — put-heavy
Vol skew +37.7%, OI skew -39.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +32%, ATM: -56%, OTM: +55% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 24% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 14.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.8% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 92% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 40% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 47% — patient
Conviction +40 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.5% — wide
OI 43,664 — adequate
Volume 6,299/day — active
$0.28 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 10% — much tighter than sector
Depth 79.3 contracts (bid:52.3 ask:27.0) — thin
Avg slippage 4.58% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 28% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 3.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 125.19 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +40% @ 70% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 70 (ITM 20% + inst 40%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.