SBITProShares UltraShort Bitcoin ETF
SBIT Options Overview
IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
SBIT Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 91.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.91x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 94% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 75.5% — normal range
Effective IV 149.1% (ATM 75.5% + spread 36.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 43.43% (spread 36.78% + slippage 6.65%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.44 (vega 5.306 / spread 36.78%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -38% (strong bearish) — Raw: -18%
|OI skew| 78.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +86.1%, OI skew +78.0% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -46%, ATM: -93%, OTM: +25% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 5% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.5% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +33.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 81% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 13% — patient
Conviction -38 (bearish) — moderate
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 36.8% — wide
OI 5,434 — thin
Volume 461/day — thin
$1.84 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector
Depth 536.6 contracts (bid:304.5 ask:232.1) — deep
Avg slippage 6.65% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.4% — contango
IV percentile 91% — seller opportunity
IV kink -3.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 140.37 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -38% @ 69% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.