Options/TECS

TECSDirexion Daily Technology Bear 3x ETF

Options Analysis Report

AUM $63M|ARCX

● 2026-08-31$61.89

BEARISH

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y -75.2%YTD -64.0%7D -9.4%

Options Vol

500

30D

Implied Move

±19.5%

IV Rank

24%

TECS Options Overview

IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn

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TECS Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

4.2

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 92.7% — elevated vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.95x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 95% — above sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.82x — contango

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 80.3% — crisis-level IV

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 139.5% (ATM 80.3% + spread 29.6% + bias) — expensive

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 35.19% (spread 29.62% + slippage 5.57%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 2.97 (vega 8.783 / spread 29.62%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

3.8

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -50%, Raw: -34%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -50% (strong bearish) — Raw: -34%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 36.9% — put-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +0.0%, OI skew -36.9% — weak (same direction)

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: -90%, OTM: +12% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 27% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

6.7

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks5/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 1.7x avg — elevated

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 12.0% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +12.9% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 86% — very active vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 40% — institutional presence

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 12% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction -50 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.7

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 29.6% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 4,176 — thin

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 500/day — adequate

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$1.48 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 271.4 contracts (bid:144.9 ask:126.5) — adequate

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 5.57% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.8

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks8/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope -18.4% — contango

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 93% — seller opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink -10.1pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 167.60 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -50% @ 75% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 70 (ITM 20% + inst 40%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls4.4

bullishIV fair, bearish flow

Long Puts6.2

bearishIV fair, bearish flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put4.8

bullishIV fair, bearish flow

Covered Call5.6

bearishIV fair, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

More on TECS

TECS gamma walls TECS max pain TECS IV rank TECS options flow