AInvestOption Pilot Program
Options/TKR
TKR logo

TKRThe Timken Company

Options Analysis Report•BALL & ROLLER BEARINGS
Market Cap $8.4B|NYSE
● 2026-08-31$120.82
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +58.0%YTD +40.0%7D -1.5%
261
30D
±10.8%
7%

TKR Options Overview

unusual activity. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.0VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

Learn
Loading score history...

TKR Gamma Walls

Loading gamma walls...

Value

Is IV priced right?

7.1
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 61.2% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.97x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 53% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.95x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 38.4% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 69.5% (ATM 38.4% + spread 15.6% + bias) — fair

<3.0%

Total drag 22.21% (spread 15.56% + slippage 6.65%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 16.85 (vega 26.226 / spread 15.56%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

3.9
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -75%, Raw: -76%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -75% (strong bearish) — Raw: -76%

≥15%

|OI skew| 58.1% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +34.9%, OI skew +58.1% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: -96%, OTM: -62% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 39% — bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

4.3
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 1.2x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 5.6% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +2.8% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 85% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 29% — patient

≥30

Conviction -75 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.5
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 15.6% — wide

≥10,000

OI 4,673 — thin

≥500

Volume 261/day — thin

≤$0.50

$0.78 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 71% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 48.0 contracts (bid:22.3 ask:25.7) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 6.65% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.0
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -4.8% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 61% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -1.0pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 471.70 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -75% @ 88% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.3
bullishIV cheap, bearish flow
Long Puts6.0
bearishIV cheap, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put3.8
bullishIV too cheap, bearish flow
Covered Call4.6
bearishIV too cheap, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

More on TKR

TKR gamma wallsTKR max painTKR IV rankTKR options flow