Options/TNA

TNADirexion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x ETF

Options Analysis Report

AUM $1.3B|ARCX

● 2026-08-31$69.95

NEUTRAL

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y +70.1%YTD +49.1%7D -2.4%

Options Vol

25,848

30D

Implied Move

±13.4%

IV Rank

TNA Options Overview

IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn

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TNA Gamma Walls

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TNA Hedge Radar

Neutral

Full Hedge Radar

Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where TNA sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.83) — near-dated vol is priced 13% below far-dated, and implied vol sits in the 14th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 21-trading-day realized moves (483 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.98): it is trading 0% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost

2.83/ 10cheap

Basis: cross_sectional

Fragility

4.98/ 10neutral

Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

6.2

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 72.3% — elevated vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.08x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 84% — above sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.76x — contango

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 46.7% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 70.9% (ATM 46.7% + spread 12.1% + bias) — fair

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 19.68% (spread 12.10% + slippage 7.58%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 5.37 (vega 6.501 / spread 12.10%) — acceptable

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

4.9

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksNeutral - Weak signal (Conviction: +8%, Raw: +7%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +8% (neutral) — Raw: +7%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 10.1% — balanced

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +0.5%, OI skew -10.1% — divergent (opposite)

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -7%, ATM: +5%, OTM: +10% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 27% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

6.0

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 2.0x avg — hot

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 21.1% — high turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +13.0% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 92% — very active vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 11% — mostly retail

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 30% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction +8 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.9

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 12.1% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 122,424 — deep

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 25,848/day — active

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$0.60 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 88% — much wider than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 625.2 contracts (bid:301.8 ask:323.4) — deep

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 7.58% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.2

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope -23.8% — contango

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 72% — seller opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink -8.0pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 74.47 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +8% @ 54% consistency — unclear

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 41 (ITM 20% + inst 11%) — moderate institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls5.6

bullishIV cheap, mixed flow

Long Puts5.6

bearishIV cheap, mixed flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put4.7

bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow

Covered Call4.8

bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

More on TNA

TNA gamma walls TNA max pain TNA IV rank TNA options flow