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URIUnited Rentals, Inc.

Options Analysis ReportSERVICES-EQUIPMENT RENTAL & LEASING, NEC
Market Cap $64.1B|NYSE
2026-08-31$1030.25
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +7.5%YTD +21.9%7D -4.9%
1,871
30D
±8.6%
4%

URI Options Overview

Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.9VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

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URI Gamma Walls

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URI Hedge Radar

Hedge window open
Full Hedge Radar

Fragility reads high; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where URI sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (1.72) — near-dated vol is priced 19% below far-dated, and implied vol sits in the 4th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 19-trading-day realized moves (485 overlapping windows). Fragility reads fragile (6.45): it is trading 6% below its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost
1.72/ 10cheap
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
6.45/ 10fragile
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

6.7
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 59.8% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.04x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 66% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.81x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 32.4% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 83.1% (ATM 32.4% + spread 25.4% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 46.93% (spread 25.36% + slippage 21.57%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 43.92 (vega 111.373 / spread 25.36%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

4.7
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -12%, Raw: -9%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -12% (bearish) — Raw: -9%

≥15%

|OI skew| 0.3% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -0.9%, OI skew -0.3% — weak (same direction)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -68%, ATM: -9%, OTM: -7% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 71% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.9
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 1.4x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 7.3% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change -96.5% (5d) — unwinding

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 87% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 5% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 19% — patient

≥30

Conviction -12 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.6
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 25.4% — wide

≥10,000

OI 25,590 — adequate

≥500

Volume 1,871/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$1.27 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 67% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 13.8 contracts (bid:6.8 ask:7.0) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 21.57% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.6
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -19.0% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 60% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -2.8pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 156.07 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -12% @ 56% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 35 (ITM 20% + inst 5%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.4
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts5.6
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.2
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call4.4
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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