WSMWilliams-Sonoma, Inc.
WSM Options Overview
Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
WSM Gamma Walls
WSM Hedge Radar
Fragility reads low; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where WSM sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.25) — implied vol sits in the 0th percentile of its own past year, and near-dated vol is priced 8% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 16-trading-day realized moves (488 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (3.16): it is trading 7% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 50.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 50% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.87x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.00x — normal
ATM IV 0.0% — normal range
Effective IV 27.6% (ATM 0.0% + spread 13.8% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 21.61% (spread 13.82% + slippage 7.79%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 13.82%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +23% (bullish) — Raw: +24%
|OI skew| 10.0% — balanced
Vol skew -29.5%, OI skew +10.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +7%, OTM: +25% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 86% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.4% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +13.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 12% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction +23 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.8% — wide
OI 17,202 — adequate
Volume 241/day — thin
$0.69 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector
Depth 65.9 contracts (bid:35.2 ask:30.7) — thin
Avg slippage 7.79% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -13.4% — contango
IV percentile 50% — neutral
IV kink -3.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +23% @ 62% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.