Options/XLRE
X

XLREState Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $8.4B|ARCX
2026-08-31$44.48
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +6.9%YTD +10.2%7D -1.9%
231
30D
±4.6%
10%

XLRE Options Overview

IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.1VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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XLRE Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

7.3
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 15.9% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.57x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 29% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.85x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 17.7% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 62.5% (ATM 17.7% + spread 22.4% + bias) — good value

<3.0%

Total drag 28.18% (spread 22.38% + slippage 5.80%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 4.90 (vega 10.962 / spread 22.38%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

4.3
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -38%, Raw: -32%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -38% (strong bearish) — Raw: -32%

≥15%

|OI skew| 13.5% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +72.3%, OI skew -13.5% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: +25%, OTM: -96% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 8% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.0
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.3x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.8% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +1.8% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 26% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 43% — institutional presence

≥60%

Aggressive execution 28% — patient

≥30

Conviction -38 (bearish) — moderate

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.1
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 22.4% — wide

≥10,000

OI 28,718 — adequate

≥500

Volume 231/day — thin

≤$0.50

$1.12 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 46% — neutral vs sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 232.5 contracts (bid:82.8 ask:149.7) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 5.80% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.7
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks8/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -15.4% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 16% — buyer opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -2.9pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1336.88 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -38% @ 69% consistency — moderate (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 73 (ITM 20% + inst 43%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.7
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts6.2
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.1
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call4.6
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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