ACMAecom
ACM Options Overview
unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
ACM Gamma Walls
ACM Hedge Radar
Fragility reads high; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where ACM sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (3.57) — the move being priced is 1.78x this name's own median 26-trading-day move, and options are pricing vol 34% below what the stock has actually been realizing, measured against this name's own rolling 26-trading-day realized moves (478 overlapping windows). Fragility reads fragile (9): it is trading 19% below its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is expanding.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 53.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.55x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 37% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.83x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 33.9% — normal range
Effective IV 75.2% (ATM 33.9% + spread 20.7% + bias) — fair
Total drag 29.34% (spread 20.66% + slippage 8.68%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.23 (vega 6.670 / spread 20.66%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -45% (strong bearish) — Raw: -35%
|OI skew| 14.2% — balanced
Vol skew +51.5%, OI skew +14.2% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -66%, ATM: -5%, OTM: -31% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 31% — bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.6% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 92% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 16% — mixed
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction -45 (bearish) — moderate
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.7% — wide
OI 10,866 — adequate
Volume 932/day — adequate
$1.03 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 61% — wider than sector
Depth 59.7 contracts (bid:31.1 ask:28.6) — thin
Avg slippage 8.68% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -17.3% — contango
IV percentile 53% — neutral
IV kink -4.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 104.87 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -45% @ 72% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 46 (ITM 20% + inst 16%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.