Options/AEO

AEOAmerican Eagle Outfitters

Options Analysis Report•RETAIL-FAMILY CLOTHING STORES

Market Cap $2.8B|NYSE

● 2026-08-31$16.87

BULLISH

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y +24.9%YTD -36.0%7D +0.0%

Options Vol

7,800

30D

Implied Move

±25.2%

IV Rank

33%

AEO Options Overview

IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn

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AEO Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

3.4

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 86.1% — elevated vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.27x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 93% — above sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.87x — contango

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 64.4% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 100.2% (ATM 64.4% + spread 17.9% + bias) — expensive

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 22.66% (spread 17.92% + slippage 4.74%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.90 (vega 1.617 / spread 17.92%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

7.8

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +37%, Raw: +25%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +37% (strong bullish) — Raw: +25%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 20.1% — call-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +47.0%, OI skew +20.1% — aligned

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +3%, ATM: +57%, OTM: +3% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 29% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

4.5

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 0.8x avg — normal

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 6.5% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +38.3% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 83% — very active vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 19% — mixed

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 23% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction +37 (bullish) — moderate

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.4

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 17.9% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 119,750 — deep

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 7,800/day — active

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$0.90 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 455.4 contracts (bid:241.3 ask:214.1) — adequate

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 4.74% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.4

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks8/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope -12.5% — contango

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink -18.6pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 41.99 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

5 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

acceptable: Earnings in 9d

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +37% @ 68% consistency — moderate (bullish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 49 (ITM 20% + inst 19%) — moderate institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls5.5

bullishIV expensive, bullish flow

Long Puts3.6

bearishIV expensive, bullish flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put6.5

bullishIV rich premium, bullish flow

Covered Call4.5

bearishIV rich premium, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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