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AMDWRoundhill AMD WeeklyPay ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $123M|BATS
● 2026-08-31$78.04
VERY BEARISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +64.0%YTD +47.2%7D +2.5%
48
30D
±16.7%
8%

AMDW Options Overview

IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

3.9VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn
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AMDW Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.2
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 87.0% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.89x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 92% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.88x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 66.0% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 132.2% (ATM 66.0% + spread 33.1% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 40.34% (spread 33.12% + slippage 7.22%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 5.89 (vega 19.521 / spread 33.12%) — acceptable

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

0.5
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -85%, Raw: -87%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -85% (strong bearish) — Raw: -87%

≥15%

|OI skew| 44.2% — put-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -75.0%, OI skew -44.2% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +100%, ATM: -90%, OTM: -100% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 98% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

4.1
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.7x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 3.7% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +22.3% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 63% — active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 6% — patient

≥30

Conviction -85 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.4
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 33.1% — wide

≥10,000

OI 1,290 — thin

≥500

Volume 48/day — thin

≤$0.50

$1.66 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 306.6 contracts (bid:215.4 ask:91.2) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 7.22% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.5
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -11.7% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 87% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -4.8pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 8873.36 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -85% @ 92% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls3.5
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Long Puts7.6
bearishIV fair, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put3.2
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Covered Call6.4
bearishIV fair, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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