ARQTArcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
ARQT Options Overview
IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
ARQT Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 83.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.60x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 61% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.43x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 63.2% — normal range
Effective IV 153.9% (ATM 63.2% + spread 45.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 55.46% (spread 45.37% + slippage 10.09%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.53 (vega 2.418 / spread 45.37%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -47% (strong bearish) — Raw: -37%
|OI skew| 85.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew +40.0%, OI skew +85.4% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -25%, ATM: -100%, OTM: +0% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 44% — bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -10.1% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 20% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction -47 (bearish) — moderate
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 45.4% — wide
OI 9,140 — thin
Volume 40/day — thin
$2.27 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 37.8 contracts (bid:22.6 ask:15.2) — thin
Avg slippage 10.09% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +42.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 83% — seller opportunity
IV kink 11.5pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 40.24 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -47% @ 74% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.