BITX2x Bitcoin ETF
BITX Options Overview
IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
BITX Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 90.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.95x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 94% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.89x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 72.2% — normal range
Effective IV 102.4% (ATM 72.2% + spread 15.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 24.23% (spread 15.08% + slippage 9.15%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.10 (vega 1.653 / spread 15.08%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -16% (bearish) — Raw: -7%
|OI skew| 36.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +11.1%, OI skew +36.2% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -36%, ATM: -16%, OTM: +8% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 25% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.5x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 11.5% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +16.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 85% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 36% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction -16 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.1% — wide
OI 250,875 — deep
Volume 28,810/day — active
$0.75 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 95% — much wider than sector
Depth 987.1 contracts (bid:465.9 ask:521.2) — deep
Avg slippage 9.15% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -11.4% — contango
IV percentile 90% — seller opportunity
IV kink -4.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 52.29 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -16% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 66 (ITM 20% + inst 36%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.