Options/BLBD

BLBDBlue Bird Corporation Common Stock

Options Analysis Report•TRUCK & BUS BODIES

Market Cap $1.9B|NASDAQ

● 2026-08-31$59.23

NEUTRAL

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y +4.1%YTD +26.7%7D +0.5%

Options Vol

30D

Implied Move

±10.8%

IV Rank

BLBD Options Overview

Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

Learn

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BLBD Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.1

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 68.4% — elevated vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.65x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 61% — above sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.81x — contango

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 43.6% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 116.2% (ATM 43.6% + spread 36.3% + bias) — expensive

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 47.87% (spread 36.29% + slippage 11.58%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 1.56 (vega 5.652 / spread 36.29%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.0

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Moderate signal (Conviction: +46%, Raw: +41%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +46% (strong bullish) — Raw: +41%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 9.2% — balanced

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -44.8%, OI skew +9.2% — divergent (opposite)

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -100%, ATM: +75%, OTM: +33% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 89% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.1

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 0.2x avg — normal

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.3% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +11.7% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 39% — below sector avg

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 31% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction +46 (bullish) — moderate

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.3

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 36.3% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 2,280 — thin

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 29/day — thin

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$1.81 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 79% — wider than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 57.699999999999996 contracts (bid:32.8 ask:24.9) — thin

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 11.58% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.5

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope -18.9% — contango

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 68% — neutral

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink -7.2pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 106.83 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +46% @ 74% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls5.7

bullishIV cheap, mixed flow

Long Puts5.0

bearishIV cheap, mixed flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put4.8

bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow

Covered Call4.2

bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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