On confirmation. The next-day open-interest snapshot did not confirm this print as a new opening position — our pipeline grades it
Confidence: LOW. The date, strike, expiration and premium below are what the run recorded; whether this opened exposure, rather than closing or churning something already on the books, is unverified.
On structure. Our candidate scan lists one qualifying opening print on ADBE that day, and it has a $5M premium floor. A deep-in-the-money put line is exactly the kind of leg that usually sits inside a larger package — against stock, against another option. Read everything below as a description of one line, not of somebody's position.
Most flashbacks in this file are bets on a move. This one starts somewhere stranger: on June 25, 2026, a 250-strike put on Adobe expiring January 15, 2027 printed for $18 million of premium — with ADBE trading at $193.41.
The strike was 29.3% above the stock. That put was $56.59 in the money the moment it printed. Our source run records it as sold to open.
First published: Daily Institutional Flow Digest, June 25, 2026 · ADBE flow on 2026-06-25.
The print
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Date | 2026-06-25 |
| Symbol | ADBE (Adobe) |
| Side | SELL to open (unconfirmed — see the note above) |
| Type | PUT |
| Strike | 250 |
| Expiration | 2027-01-15 (204 days out at the print) |
| Premium collected | $18M |
| ADBE close on the print date | $193.41 |
| Strike vs spot | 29.3% above — $56.59 of intrinsic value on day one |
| Status | still open, marked to the 2026-08-28 close |
No option price, so no contract count. Our source scan carries no per-contract price on this line. Premium is what the run recorded; a contract count would have to be reverse-engineered from a price we do not have, so we are not printing one.
Selling a put that is already 29% in the money
This is not the retail shape of a short put, and it is worth being explicit about the mechanics before the outcome.
A put seller wants the stock above the strike. Here the stock started $56.59 below it. On day one the seller was, on paper, deep underwater against the strike — and the whole $18M was collected against a contract whose intrinsic value alone was most of that.
What that structure actually does is take on stock-like downside with a capped, prepaid upside. Below $250, the seller absorbs every dollar Adobe falls. Above $250, the put goes to zero and the seller keeps the credit — nothing more. It is closer to a synthetic position than to income selling, and desks put it on for reasons that never appear on the tape: financing, collateral, an offsetting long, an assignment they are content to take.
Deep-in-the-money American puts also carry early-assignment risk. A counterparty holding a put with almost no time value left can exercise it whenever they like, and the seller wakes up long 100 shares per contract at $250. That is a live feature of this position for as long as the stock is below the strike — not a hypothetical.
What Adobe did next
It went up, more or less without stopping.
| Date | ADBE close | vs the print | vs the 250 strike |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 (print, and the low) | $193.41 | — | $56.59 below |
| 2026-07-29 (first close above the strike) | $263.43 | +36.2% | $13.43 above |
| 2026-07-30 (last close below the strike) | $247.90 | +28.2% | $2.10 below |
| 2026-08-28 (last close in our data) | $291.52 | +50.7% | $41.52 above |
Daily closes from Polygon across the 46 sessions from the print to August 28; the chart above plots all of them.
Two details in that table matter more than the +50.7%:
The print day was the low. ADBE never closed below $193.41 again in the window. Whoever was on the sell side of this put was never worse off than they were on day one — an unusually generous entry that says nothing about skill and everything about luck of timing, since nobody could have known it at the time.
24 of those 46 sessions still closed below the strike. The stock crossed $250 on July 29, fell back under it the very next session, and only then held. For the first five weeks of this trade the put was in the money every single day.
The result is a mark, not a settlement
This is the part that flow write-ups usually get wrong, so we will be blunt about it.
This contract does not expire until January 15, 2027 — 140 days after the last close in our data. Nothing about it is realized. Our scan grades it a winner on the underlying's direction — ADBE is up 50.7% and the strike is $41.52 behind — and by that measure it is working. But a January-2027 put with Adobe at $291.52 is not worth zero. It is worth whatever the market says the next 140 days of downside risk are worth, and any of those days can put the stock back under $250.
We are not quoting a P&L figure for this trade, because there is no honest one to quote yet.
The denominator
This scan had a 50% hit rate — the number in the source file. That rate counts single-leg POSITIONS, not legs: 202 of 472 priced legs belonged to multi-leg structures and are excluded, because the legs of one position resolve together and must not each vote. Fewer than half of the eligible prints it scored worked out. ADBE is currently in the good half, on an unconfirmed open, with 140 days left to run. Every one of those qualifiers is load-bearing.
And to be clear about the roles: we did not predict this. Our scanner flagged a large put print on June 25 and put it in that day's digest. Somebody took a position we cannot fully see; the market has spent nine weeks moving in their favour. Flagging, taking, and resolving are three different acts.
Two things this trade teaches
Moneyness tells you the structure; premium does not. "$18M of puts sold" reads like an income trade. A strike 29.3% in the money reads like financing, collateral, or a hedge leg — a different animal with a different risk profile. Check moneyness before you interpret intent.
An unconfirmed open is a description, not a claim. Our open-interest check never verified this as new exposure, and prints like it have inverted on us before — a "new hedge" that turned out to be an unwind, an "opening" line that was churn against existing size. So we tell you what printed and what the stock did afterward, and we stop there.
See the flow as it prints
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