IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 71.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.07x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 70% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 53.8% — normal range
Effective IV 80.9% (ATM 53.8% + spread 13.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 17.71% (spread 13.55% + slippage 4.16%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 21.24 (vega 28.786 / spread 13.55%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +63% (strong bullish) — Raw: +55%
|OI skew| 48.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +67.9%, OI skew +48.9% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -28%, ATM: +56%, OTM: +57% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 25% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 68% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 53% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 39% — patient
Conviction +63 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.6% — wide
OI 66,148 — deep
Volume 2,183/day — adequate
$0.68 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 84% — much wider than sector
Depth 136.5 contracts (bid:92.8 ask:43.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.16% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 72% — seller opportunity
IV kink 2.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1262.54 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +63% @ 82% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 83 (ITM 20% + inst 53%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.