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CECelanese Corporation Common Stock

Options Analysis ReportPLASTIC MATERIAL, SYNTH RESIN/RUBBER, CELLULOS (NO GLASS)
Market Cap $4.9B|NYSE
2026-08-31$45.00
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y -2.3%YTD +6.7%7D -0.6%
2,604
30D
±11.8%
0%

CE Options Overview

IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.9VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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CE Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

4.9
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 75.2% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.35x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 68% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.84x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 49.0% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 84.3% (ATM 49.0% + spread 17.6% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 26.18% (spread 17.65% + slippage 8.53%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 2.43 (vega 4.295 / spread 17.65%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.9
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -17%, Raw: -13%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -17% (bearish) — Raw: -13%

≥15%

|OI skew| 20.9% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +97.6%, OI skew +20.9% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +33%, ATM: -40%, OTM: -13% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 2% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.3
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.7x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 4.7% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +3.2% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 77% — active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 45% — patient

≥30

Conviction -17 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.0
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 17.6% — wide

≥10,000

OI 54,965 — deep

≥500

Volume 2,604/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$0.88 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 82% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 205.5 contracts (bid:143.4 ask:62.1) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 8.53% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.1
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -16.2% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 75% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -6.8pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 96.53 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -17% @ 59% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.2
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Long Puts4.7
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.2
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Covered Call4.6
bearishIV fair, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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