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CMPSCOMPASS Pathways Plc American Depository Shares

Options Analysis ReportPHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
Market Cap $1.9B|NASDAQ
2026-08-31$13.73
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +203.8%YTD +109.6%7D -3.3%
4,656
30D
±18.3%
2%

CMPS Options Overview

IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.4VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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CMPS Gamma Walls

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CMPS Hedge Radar

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Full Hedge Radar

Fragility reads high; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where CMPS sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.61) — near-dated vol is priced 15% below far-dated, and implied vol sits in the 0th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 21-trading-day realized moves (483 overlapping windows). Fragility reads fragile (6.62): it is trading 14% above its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, a name whose wall relationship is measured as inverted, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost
2.61/ 10cheap
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
6.62/ 10fragile
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

5.1
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 92.5% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.05x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 79% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.71x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 79.1% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 102.3% (ATM 79.1% + spread 11.6% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 16.24% (spread 11.59% + slippage 4.65%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 1.13 (vega 1.313 / spread 11.59%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.3
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksNeutral - Moderate signal (Conviction: -5%, Raw: +13%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -5% (neutral) — Raw: +13%

≥15%

|OI skew| 66.8% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +45.3%, OI skew +66.8% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -71%, ATM: +78%, OTM: +45% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 37% — bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

4.6
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.9x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 3.9% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +8.6% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 74% — active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 34% — institutional presence

≥60%

Aggressive execution 49% — patient

≥30

Conviction -5 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.7
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 11.6% — wide

≥10,000

OI 119,302 — deep

≥500

Volume 4,656/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$0.58 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 91% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 193.4 contracts (bid:89.5 ask:103.9) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 4.65% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.6
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -29.0% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 92% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -16.8pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 62.53 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -5% @ 53% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 64 (ITM 20% + inst 34%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.5
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Long Puts4.7
bearishIV fair, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.6
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Covered Call4.6
bearishIV fair, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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