CNMCore & Main, Inc.
CNM Options Overview
bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
CNM Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 67.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.77x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 64% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 42.9% — normal range
Effective IV 79.6% (ATM 42.9% + spread 18.3% + bias) — fair
Total drag 28.16% (spread 18.34% + slippage 9.82%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.06 (vega 9.289 / spread 18.34%) — acceptable
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -30% (strong bearish) — Raw: -21%
|OI skew| 59.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew -32.5%, OI skew +59.1% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -50%, ATM: +0%, OTM: -21% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 86% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.6% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 28% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 27% — patient
Conviction -30 (bearish) — moderate
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 18.3% — wide
OI 13,642 — adequate
Volume 83/day — thin
$0.92 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 77% — wider than sector
Depth 100.7 contracts (bid:56.0 ask:44.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 9.82% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 67% — neutral
IV kink -1.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 483.79 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 9d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -30% @ 65% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.