Options/COAL
C

COALRange Global Coal Index ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $29M|ARCX
2026-08-31$27.23
VERY BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +35.5%YTD +16.7%7D +1.7%
24
30D
±12.1%
6%

COAL Options Overview

bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.5VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

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COAL Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

4.0
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks2/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 60.2% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.54x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 77% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.19x — backwardation

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 37.9% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 152.2% (ATM 37.9% + spread 57.1% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 73.56% (spread 57.14% + slippage 16.42%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 1.37 (vega 7.826 / spread 57.14%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.7
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksNeutral - Strong signal (Conviction: +7%, Raw: +8%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +7% (neutral) — Raw: +8%

≥15%

|OI skew| 96.0% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +91.7%, OI skew +96.0% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -17%, ATM: +100%, OTM: -33% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 3% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.2
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.8x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.7% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +1.1% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 23% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 8% — patient

≥30

Conviction +7 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.3
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 57.1% — wide

≥10,000

OI 3,577 — thin

≥500

Volume 24/day — thin

≤$0.50

$2.86 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 58.3 contracts (bid:43.1 ask:15.2) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 16.42% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.2
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +18.6% — backwardation

<30 or >70

IV percentile 60% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink 9.8pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1326.39 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +7% @ 54% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.2
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Long Puts4.0
bearishIV fair, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.7
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Covered Call4.5
bearishIV fair, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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