IV is low with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 7.7% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.46x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 0% — below sector median
Front/Back 4.21x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 18.8% — normal range
Effective IV 145.7% (ATM 18.8% + spread 63.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 91.36% (spread 63.46% + slippage 27.90%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.28 (vega 1.775 / spread 63.46%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +20% (bullish) — Raw: +16%
|OI skew| 44.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +74.3%, OI skew +44.1% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -14%, ATM: -48%, OTM: +56% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 18% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +12.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 81% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 43% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 58% — patient
Conviction +20 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 63.5% — wide
OI 366,025 — deep
Volume 17,803/day — active
$3.17 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 45% — neutral vs sector
Depth 314.5 contracts (bid:243.3 ask:71.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 27.90% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +321.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 8% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 35.3pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 239.86 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 73 (ITM 20% + inst 43%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.