IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 93.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.70x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 95% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 98.3% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 117.1% (ATM 98.3% + spread 9.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 14.14% (spread 9.39% + slippage 4.75%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.97 (vega 3.725 / spread 9.39%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -14% (bearish) — Raw: -10%
|OI skew| 15.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +45.9%, OI skew +15.0% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -21%, ATM: -14%, OTM: -7% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 48% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.9% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 88% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 15% — mixed
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction -14 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.4% — wide
OI 494,805 — deep
Volume 26,565/day — active
$0.47 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 97% — much wider than sector
Depth 283.5 contracts (bid:147.1 ask:136.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.75% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 93% — seller opportunity
IV kink 11.1pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 20.58 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 45 (ITM 20% + inst 15%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.