Options/ERO

EROEro Copper Corp.

Options Analysis Report

Market Cap $4.1B|NYSE

● 2026-08-31$38.83

NEUTRAL

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y +162.2%YTD +33.7%7D +0.7%

Options Vol

6,775

30D

Implied Move

±8.6%

IV Rank

25%

ERO Options Overview

unusual activity. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

Learn

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ERO Gamma Walls

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ERO Hedge Radar

Hedge window open

Full Hedge Radar

Fragility reads high; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where ERO sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.43) — downside puts carry 3.9 IV points LESS than at-the-money, and near-dated vol is priced 2% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 16-trading-day realized moves (488 overlapping windows). Fragility reads fragile (6.62): it is trading 11% above its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, a name whose wall relationship is measured as inverted, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost

2.43/ 10cheap

Basis: cross_sectional

Fragility

6.62/ 10fragile

Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

6.4

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 50.0% — elevated vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 50% — below sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.00x — flat

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.00x — normal

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 0.0% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 20.6% (ATM 0.0% + spread 10.3% + bias) — excellent value

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 14.70% (spread 10.29% + slippage 4.41%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 10.29%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

4.5

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -58%, Raw: -41%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -58% (strong bearish) — Raw: -41%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 72.9% — call-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +42.7%, OI skew +72.9% — aligned

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -68%, ATM: -77%, OTM: -38% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 47% — neutral vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

5.3

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 1.0x avg — normal

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 7.5% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +6.8% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 89% — very active vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 80% — heavy institutional

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 30% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction -58 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

4.8

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 10.3% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 90,682 — deep

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 6,775/day — active

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$0.51 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

1 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 327.1 contracts (bid:157.8 ask:169.3) — adequate

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 4.41% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.2

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope +0.0% — flat/unclear

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 50% — neutral

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.0pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -58% @ 79% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 110 (ITM 20% + inst 80%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls5.4

bullishIV cheap, mixed flow

Long Puts5.8

bearishIV cheap, mixed flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put4.5

bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow

Covered Call4.9

bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

More on ERO

ERO gamma walls ERO max pain ERO IV rank ERO options flow