Options/GBIL

GBILGoldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF

Options Analysis Report

AUM $7.6B|ARCX

● 2026-08-31$100.15

VERY BEARISH

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y +0.3%YTD +0.2%7D +0.0%

Options Vol

30D

Implied Move

±5.4%

IV Rank

13%

GBIL Options Overview

IV is low with bearish flow and unusual activity. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

Learn

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GBIL Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.0

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 4.9% — cheap vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 11.42x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 9% — below sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.19x — backwardation

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 12.9% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 293.8% (ATM 12.9% + spread 140.5% + bias) — expensive

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 143.42% (spread 140.46% + slippage 2.96%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 140.46%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

1.2

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -100%, Raw: -100%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -100% (strong bearish) — Raw: -100%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 100.0% — put-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -100.0%, OI skew -100.0% — aligned

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -100%, ATM: -100%, OTM: +0% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 27% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

7.3

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks6/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 1.8x avg — elevated

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 82.1% — high turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

2 day(s) elevated — sustained

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +180.0% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 99% — very active vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 0% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction -100 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.5

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 140.5% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 28 — thin

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 23/day — thin

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$7.02 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 31% — tighter than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 25.4 contracts (bid:15.2 ask:10.2) — thin

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 2.96% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.0

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope +18.8% — backwardation

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 5% — buyer opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink 5.3pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -100% @ 100% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls3.9

bullishIV fair, bearish flow

Long Puts7.6

bearishIV fair, bearish flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put3.2

bullishIV fair, bearish flow

Covered Call5.9

bearishIV fair, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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