Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 32.2% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.78x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 5% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.02x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.2% — normal range
Effective IV 86.7% (ATM 30.2% + spread 28.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 37.50% (spread 28.25% + slippage 9.25%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.94 (vega 8.304 / spread 28.25%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +67% (strong bullish) — Raw: +46%
|OI skew| 4.7% — balanced
Vol skew -30.0%, OI skew -4.7% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +38%, ATM: +38%, OTM: +48% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 85% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 41% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 46% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 8% — patient
Conviction +67 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 28.2% — wide
OI 17,510 — adequate
Volume 217/day — thin
$1.41 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Depth 331.6 contracts (bid:154.5 ask:177.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 9.25% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +2.3% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 32% — neutral
IV kink 1.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1221.15 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +67% @ 83% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 76 (ITM 20% + inst 46%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.