Options/HMY

HMYHarmony Gold Mining Company Limited

Options Analysis Report

Market Cap $12.6B|NYSE

● 2026-08-31$20.23

BULLISH

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y +41.7%YTD +3.4%7D -11.3%

Options Vol

1,160

30D

Implied Move

±14.9%

IV Rank

HMY Options Overview

IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn

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HMY Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.6

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 80.7% — elevated vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.79x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 76% — above sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.95x — contango

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 55.8% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 106.2% (ATM 55.8% + spread 25.2% + bias) — expensive

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 31.95% (spread 25.19% + slippage 6.76%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 2.29 (vega 5.780 / spread 25.19%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.9

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +46%, Raw: +29%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +46% (strong bullish) — Raw: +29%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 41.4% — call-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +11.2%, OI skew +41.4% — aligned

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +55%, ATM: +70%, OTM: -44% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 64% — bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

4.2

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 0.5x avg — normal

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.9% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +7.5% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 48% — neutral vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 43% — institutional presence

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 39% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction +46 (bullish) — moderate

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.0

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 25.2% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 60,631 — deep

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 1,160/day — adequate

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$1.26 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 704.2 contracts (bid:360.1 ask:344.1) — deep

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 6.76% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

8.0

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope -4.6% — flat/unclear

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 81% — seller opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink -4.7pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 672.13 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +46% @ 73% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 73 (ITM 20% + inst 43%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls7.0

bullishIV fair, bullish flow

Long Puts4.7

bearishIV fair, bullish flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put5.5

bullishIV fair, bullish flow

Covered Call4.2

bearishIV fair, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

More on HMY

HMY gamma walls HMY max pain HMY IV rank HMY options flow