IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 78.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.57x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 71% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.90x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 61.8% — normal range
Effective IV 103.3% (ATM 61.8% + spread 20.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 25.58% (spread 20.76% + slippage 4.82%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.20 (vega 2.492 / spread 20.76%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -0% (neutral) — Raw: -13%
|OI skew| 26.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +87.8%, OI skew +26.1% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -4%, ATM: +0%, OTM: -27% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 11% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -1.3% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 18% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 18% — patient
Conviction -0 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.8% — wide
OI 71,576 — deep
Volume 295/day — thin
$1.04 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 85% — much wider than sector
Depth 1,006.2 contracts (bid:580.2 ask:426.0) — deep
Avg slippage 4.82% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.7% — contango
IV percentile 78% — seller opportunity
IV kink -5.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 220.51 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -0% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.