Options/ITOT

ITOTiShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF

Options Analysis Report

AUM $97.4B|ARCX

● 2026-08-31$168.47

BULLISH

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y +20.1%YTD +12.9%7D +0.6%

Options Vol

30D

Implied Move

±3.6%

IV Rank

ITOT Options Overview

IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

Learn

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ITOT Gamma Walls

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ITOT Hedge Radar

Neutral

Full Hedge Radar

Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where ITOT sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.14) — implied vol sits in the 0th percentile of its own past year, and near-dated vol is priced 27% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 24-trading-day realized moves (480 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.39): it is trading 4% above its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost

2.14/ 10cheap

Basis: cross_sectional

Fragility

4.39/ 10neutral

Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

8.1

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 8.7% — cheap vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.34x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 16% — below sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.77x — contango

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 14.6% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 45.5% (ATM 14.6% + spread 15.4% + bias) — excellent value

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 18.50% (spread 15.44% + slippage 3.06%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 26.53 (vega 40.970 / spread 15.44%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.0

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -14%, Raw: -11%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -14% (bearish) — Raw: -11%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 46.3% — call-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +100.0%, OI skew +46.3% — aligned

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -20%, ATM: +33%, OTM: -100% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 50% — neutral vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

1.8

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 0.1x avg — normal

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.2% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +3.4% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 10% — quiet vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 0% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction -14 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.9

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 15.4% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 4,138 — thin

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 10/day — thin

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$0.77 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 36% — tighter than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 245.60000000000002 contracts (bid:147.3 ask:98.3) — adequate

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 3.06% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.8

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope -23.0% — contango

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 9% — buyer opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink -2.5pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1241.50 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -14% @ 56% consistency — unclear

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls7.3

bullishIV cheap, bullish flow

Long Puts5.7

bearishIV cheap, bullish flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put4.3

bullishIV too cheap, bullish flow

Covered Call3.6

bearishIV too cheap, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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