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JMIAJumia Technologies AG

Options Analysis Report
Market Cap $865M|NYSE
● 2026-08-31$6.94
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y -13.8%YTD -45.9%7D +6.9%
4,807
30D
±17.9%
0%

JMIA Options Overview

IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.3VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn
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JMIA Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

4.9
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 88.7% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.06x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 95% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.73x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 68.9% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 105.3% (ATM 68.9% + spread 18.2% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 23.15% (spread 18.20% + slippage 4.95%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.30 (vega 0.542 / spread 18.20%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.6
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -18%, Raw: -30%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -18% (bearish) — Raw: -30%

≥15%

|OI skew| 41.5% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +21.7%, OI skew +41.5% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -75%, ATM: +10%, OTM: -88% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 44% — bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

5.2
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 1.6x avg — elevated

≥15%

Vol/OI 6.9% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +9.4% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 84% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 20% — mixed

≥60%

Aggressive execution 24% — patient

≥30

Conviction -18 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.1
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 18.2% — wide

≥10,000

OI 69,314 — deep

≥500

Volume 4,807/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$0.91 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 98% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 904.1999999999999 contracts (bid:644.3 ask:259.9) — deep

<1.0%

Avg slippage 4.95% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.5
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -26.8% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 89% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -15.0pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 42.36 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

5 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -18% @ 59% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 50 (ITM 20% + inst 20%) — moderate institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.3
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Long Puts4.8
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.3
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Covered Call4.8
bearishIV fair, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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