Options/JPST
J

JPSTJPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $41.1B|ARCX
2026-08-31$50.54
BEARISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y -0.0%YTD -0.2%7D +0.0%
18
30D
±3.6%
15%

JPST Options Overview

IV is low with bearish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.2VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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JPST Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.9
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 2.4% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 8.27x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 4% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.00x — flat

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 9.1% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 167.4% (ATM 9.1% + spread 79.2% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 93.06% (spread 79.16% + slippage 13.90%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 79.16%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

4.6
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksNeutral - Moderate signal (Conviction: +8%, Raw: +8%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +8% (neutral) — Raw: +8%

≥15%

|OI skew| 93.5% — put-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -100.0%, OI skew -93.5% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: +8%, OTM: +0% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 27% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

6.0
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 1.4x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 58.1% — high turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +106.7% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 97% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 15% — patient

≥30

Conviction +8 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.6
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 79.2% — wide

≥10,000

OI 31 — thin

≥500

Volume 18/day — thin

≤$0.50

$3.96 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 27% — tighter than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 94.7 contracts (bid:59.6 ask:35.1) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 13.90% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.0
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +0.0% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 2% — buyer opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.0pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed

≥3 expirations

1 liquid expirations — limited

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +8% @ 54% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.3
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts6.5
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.0
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call4.2
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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