IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 85.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.01x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 92% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.15x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 74.6% — normal range
Effective IV 125.7% (ATM 74.6% + spread 25.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 32.26% (spread 25.54% + slippage 6.72%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.38 (vega 0.969 / spread 25.54%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -38% (strong bearish) — Raw: -31%
|OI skew| 45.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +77.2%, OI skew +45.9% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -74%, ATM: +10%, OTM: -22% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 16% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -3.7% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 22% — mixed
Aggressive execution 18% — patient
Conviction -38 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 25.5% — wide
OI 328,091 — deep
Volume 11,239/day — active
$1.28 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector
Depth 634.3 contracts (bid:460.1 ask:174.2) — deep
Avg slippage 6.72% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +14.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity
IV kink 11.1pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 61.75 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -38% @ 69% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 52 (ITM 20% + inst 22%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.