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Options/MDBX
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MDBX

Options Analysis Report
Market Cap: --
● 2026-04-21$18.09
VERY BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-04-20 EOD data
1Y -60.1%YTD -71.7%7D +0.0%
59
30D
±15.4%
2%

MDBX Options Overview

bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

6.1VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

Learn
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MDBX Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.8
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 61.8% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.40x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 62% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 2.38x — backwardation

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 42.3% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 301.6% (ATM 42.3% + spread 129.6% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 184.56% (spread 129.63% + slippage 54.93%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.14 (vega 1.849 / spread 129.63%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

9.9
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +98%, Raw: +97%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +98% (strong bullish) — Raw: +97%

≥15%

|OI skew| 89.1% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +96.6%, OI skew +89.1% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: +97%, OTM: +0% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 3% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

5.0
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.8x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 7.3% — normal turnover

≥60%

Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +5.6% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 71% — active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 100% — highly urgent

≥30

Conviction +98 (bullish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.4
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 129.6% — wide

≥10,000

OI 811 — thin

≥500

Volume 59/day — thin

≤$0.50

$6.48 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 75% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 366.4 contracts (bid:333.7 ask:32.7) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 54.93% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.3
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +138.2% — backwardation

<30 or >70

IV percentile 62% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink 12.0pts — event priced

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 271.88 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +98% @ 99% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls7.0
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Long Puts3.5
bearishIV fair, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.7
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Covered Call2.9
bearishIV fair, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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