IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 88.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.97x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 68% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.00x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 81.7% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 123.9% (ATM 81.7% + spread 21.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 29.54% (spread 21.11% + slippage 8.43%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.16 (vega 10.884 / spread 21.11%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +53% (strong bullish) — Raw: +48%
|OI skew| 0.3% — balanced
Vol skew +74.0%, OI skew -0.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -17%, ATM: +0%, OTM: +53% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 26% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.7% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 31% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Conviction +53 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 21.1% — wide
OI 59,680 — deep
Volume 755/day — adequate
$1.06 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 81% — much wider than sector
Depth 109.2 contracts (bid:61.0 ask:48.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 8.43% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 88% — seller opportunity
IV kink 0.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 97.27 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +53% @ 76% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.