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MRPMillrose Properties, Inc.

Options Analysis ReportREAL ESTATE
Market Cap $5.1B|NYSE
2026-08-31$30.61
VERY BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y -10.4%YTD +2.6%7D +0.3%
88
30D
±5.7%
2%

MRP Options Overview

bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.7VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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MRP Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

7.1
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 33.4% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.16x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 43% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.75x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 24.6% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 102.7% (ATM 24.6% + spread 39.0% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 59.75% (spread 39.05% + slippage 20.70%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 2.04 (vega 7.981 / spread 39.05%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

9.3
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +80%, Raw: +68%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +80% (strong bullish) — Raw: +68%

≥15%

|OI skew| 43.2% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +61.4%, OI skew +43.2% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: +85%, OTM: -100% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 15% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.3
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.2x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.5% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +2.0% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 37% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 36% — patient

≥30

Conviction +80 (bullish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.6
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 39.0% — wide

≥10,000

OI 16,573 — adequate

≥500

Volume 88/day — thin

≤$0.50

$1.95 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 74% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 165.7 contracts (bid:64.3 ask:101.4) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 20.70% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.2
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -25.2% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 33% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -5.6pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1287.26 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +80% @ 90% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls8.2
bullishIV cheap, bullish flow
Long Puts4.2
bearishIV cheap, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.7
bullishIV too cheap, bullish flow
Covered Call2.7
bearishIV too cheap, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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