IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 94.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.78x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 88% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.25x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 106.4% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 113.0% (ATM 106.4% + spread 3.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 5.25% (spread 3.32% + slippage 1.93%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 388.79 (vega 129.077 / spread 3.32%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +1% (neutral) — Raw: +0%
|OI skew| 4.6% — balanced
Vol skew +44.6%, OI skew -4.6% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +4%, ATM: +7%, OTM: -1% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.5x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 22.3% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
5 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +14.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 97% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 15% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 44% — patient
Conviction +1 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 3.3% — acceptable
OI 1,891,063 — deep
Volume 421,395/day — active
$0.17 to cross — cheap
3 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 93% — much wider than sector
Depth 103.8 contracts (bid:52.3 ask:51.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 1.93% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +25.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 94% — seller opportunity
IV kink 22.2pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1506.15 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +1% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 45 (ITM 20% + inst 15%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.