IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 87.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.10x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 64% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.08x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 78.8% — normal range
Effective IV 89.2% (ATM 78.8% + spread 5.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 9.57% (spread 5.18% + slippage 4.39%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 178.97 (vega 92.707 / spread 5.18%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -52% (strong bearish) — Raw: -54%
|OI skew| 32.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +34.4%, OI skew +32.9% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -18%, ATM: -9%, OTM: -56% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 59% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +13.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 85% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 14% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction -52 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.2% — wide
OI 14,038 — adequate
Volume 1,237/day — adequate
$0.26 to cross — cheap
13 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 79% — wider than sector
Depth 23.2 contracts (bid:11.7 ask:11.5) — thin
Avg slippage 4.39% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +7.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 88% — seller opportunity
IV kink 6.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 397.55 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -52% @ 76% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 44 (ITM 20% + inst 14%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.