NGGNational Grid PLC
NGG Options Overview
IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
NGG Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 26.6% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.53x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 45% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.91x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 21.8% — normal range
Effective IV 39.9% (ATM 21.8% + spread 9.1% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 12.28% (spread 9.06% + slippage 3.22%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 25.75 (vega 23.329 / spread 9.06%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -84% (strong bearish) — Raw: -82%
|OI skew| 21.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +65.4%, OI skew +21.9% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -22%, ATM: -100%, OTM: -85% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 25% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.3% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 62% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 80% — highly urgent
Conviction -84 (bearish) — strong conviction
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.1% — wide
OI 13,226 — adequate
Volume 301/day — thin
$0.45 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 66% — wider than sector
Depth 52.599999999999994 contracts (bid:33.4 ask:19.2) — thin
Avg slippage 3.22% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.2% — contango
IV percentile 27% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -2.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1485.96 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -84% @ 92% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.